Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 3.002243 3.173366 3.352880 3.555895 3.779917 4.020496 4.299637
2025-10-26 2.724804 2.968578 3.237665 3.559384 3.937181 4.371423 4.915314
2025-11-02 2.520281 2.798843 3.116577 3.510816 3.994183 4.577782 5.352596
2025-11-09 2.352859 2.649448 2.995980 3.438115 3.998588 4.702392 5.683130
2025-11-16 2.231478 2.542011 2.912250 3.396070 4.027593 4.849189 6.046928
2025-11-23 2.157890 2.485282 2.883244 3.415529 4.130793 5.095501 6.570370
2025-11-30 2.090209 2.430294 2.850715 3.424762 4.216678 5.321080 7.088285
2025-12-07 1.989440 2.327789 2.750814 3.336557 4.159363 5.334132 7.276943
2025-12-14 1.907297 2.244842 2.671346 3.269764 4.125062 5.374455 7.509638
2025-12-21 1.851597 2.193077 2.629494 3.250696 4.155676 5.511972 7.919040
2025-12-28 1.800159 2.144400 2.588939 3.230151 4.181081 5.641382 8.330259
2026-01-04 1.771177 2.123736 2.584482 3.259382 4.281488 5.897601 9.011775
2026-01-11 1.742536 2.103459 2.580969 3.291734 4.392307 6.188267 9.829363
2026-01-18 1.706246 2.071561 2.560041 3.297389 4.461793 6.416929 10.573883
2026-01-25 1.656678 2.019689 2.508802 3.254633 4.449525 6.499010 11.018720
2026-02-01 1.603416 1.960971 2.445579 3.190391 4.397215 6.502483 11.285284
2026-02-08 1.561823 1.916997 2.401611 3.153189 4.386969 6.582258 11.750077
2026-02-15 1.539345 1.898678 2.393469 3.170412 4.469164 6.845532 12.736846
2026-02-22 1.515473 1.877527 2.380216 3.178581 4.535756 7.085404 13.734753
2026-03-01 1.467864 1.821640 2.314408 3.100469 4.445527 6.998920 13.796248
2026-03-08 1.427854 1.775549 2.261681 3.041217 4.385590 6.969892 14.024271
2026-03-15 1.401752 1.748472 2.236066 3.024285 4.400288 7.098117 14.765855
2026-03-22 1.376504 1.721943 2.210391 3.006033 4.411188 7.219126 15.525988